Median Sales Prices in Phoenix a bit Misleading

This graph is misleading.  A quick glance makes it appear that the economic plan is gaining favor.  Yet, a close look reveals that the time frame moves from right-to-left.  Confidence in the plan is actually dropping!

The current median sales prices for the Phoenix area are also misleading - Mike Orr from the Cromford report described it this way:

July 6 - It's all in the mix. If we examine the monthly median sales price for all areas & types we get $196,200 today, which is up 7.2% from this time last year. However the majority of that price improvement is due to a change in the mix, not an increase in home sales prices between July 2013 and now. This is revealed if we look at the individual monthly median sales prices for the 3 major types of transactions across Greater Phoenix:

• Normal sales - $205,000 - up 2.5% from $200,000 last year
• REO sales - $134,045 - down 1.5% from $136,050 last year
• Short sales & pre-foreclosures - $138,000 - down 1.4% from $140,000 last year

Two of the categories are down from last year while the third (and most important) is up a mere 2.5%, not much more than inflation.
The big change is in the share of the market that each transaction type has taken:

• Normal sales - 89.7% - up from 79.5% last year
• REO sales - 6.5% - down from 8.7% last year
• Short sales & pre-foreclosures - 3.8% - down from 11.8% last year

The swing away from distressed sales (which have much lower prices) towards normal sales (which have slightly increased prices) accounts for a much larger increase in the overall median sales price than for any of the 3 individual transaction types.


#RealEstate #Avondale , #Goodyear , #Buckeye , #Glendale,  #Phoenix, #Surprise, #Peoria, #Tolleson, #Laveen, #Waddell , #Wittman